Predictability risk rising in 1st-down personnel groupings
Pending:51 CRITICAL
Conflicts:3
Confidence:84%
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Play Review
Play 14 - PA Boot RT
Flagged
C-
72/10058%Low
Model evaluation score and confidence
Model Claim
Offensive line failed to execute zone blocking scheme, resulting in immediate pressure from the defensive end. The quarterback was forced to throw off-platform, leading to an inaccurate pass.
OL_ZONE_BLOCK_001
Left tackle failed to reach the defensive end on the zone step
OL_COMBO_BLOCK_003
Guard-tackle combo did not transfer cleanly to second level
QB_POCKET_002
Quarterback climbed pocket when edge was still available
WR_ROUTE_DEPTH_001
Routes reached correct depth for play-action concept
Supporting Data
Pressure Time
1.8s
Avg Pressure Time
2.6s
Qb Throw Accuracy
62%
Expected Points
-1.2 EPA
Your Decision
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Elite
Combine Predictor
2025 Combine Projection Engine
v8.2.0 — trained on 2018–2024 combine data + FlyIQ grade profiles
COMBINE PROJECTION
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · Arizona · Projected Pick #4
CI ±0.05s
40YD
4.48s
±0.05 s
10YD
1.55s
±0.03 s
VERT
36.5in
±1.5 in
BROAD
122.0in
±3.0 in
3-CONE
7.08s
±0.12 s
SHUTTLE
4.31s
±0.08 s
BENCH
13reps
±2.0 reps
S2 / WONDERLIC
28
cognitive proxy
GRADE PROFILE
4-Axis Input
Grade → Combine Correlation Model
Regression coefficients from 6 years of combine data mapped against FlyIQ grade axes.
Technique
r = 0.62
→ 40-Yard Dash
Decision
r = 0.71
→ Wonderlic / S2
Outcome
r = 0.58
→ Broad Jump
Effort
r = 0.66
→ 3-Cone Drill
Position-Specific Targets — WR
What Tetairoa McMillan needs to hit to maintain or improve draft stock.
40-YARD
<4.45
Sub-4.45 locks top-15 draft stock
VERTICAL
36+
Jump ball viability
3-CONE
<6.95
Separation proxy
Borderline alert: WR needs sub-4.45 to lock top-15. McMillan projected 4.48 — borderline. A 4.42 would cement WR1; a 4.52 drops him to late-first.
Comparative Projections — All 2025 Prospects
Grade composite vs projected 40-yard dash. Lower-right quadrant = elite athletes with elite grades.
Outliers: Travis Hunter (elite grades + elite speed), Mason Graham (elite grades, heavy DT), Matthew Golden (top athletic projection).
Historical Accuracy — 2024 Combine Back-test
FlyIQ projections were within 0.04s on the 40-yard dash for 87% of 2024 prospects.
87% within ±0.04s
Combine Risk Assessment
Prospects whose stock could drop most from a poor combine showing.
Nic Scourton
EDGE · Texas A&M
HIGH RISK
Data: limited
Elite grades but limited testing data — combine will define stock.
Shedeur Sanders
QB · Colorado
HIGH RISK
Data: limited
Elite grades but limited testing data — combine will define stock.